Tennis betting
testimonials
Section 3
Unlike some businesses, we do not write our own testimonials!
This shabby practice deserves to be exposed wherever
it can be shown to be happening. Lay-out has been
standardised and punctuation and spelling corrected
in some cases for readability. Some members of our
tennis 'insiders' mailing list may appear more than
once because of frequent communication amongst the
group.
Oldest
testimonials are at the bottom.
For
Tony tennis testimonials section 1, click
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Tony tennis testimonials section 2, click
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Tony testimonials section 4, click
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Tony testimonials section 5, click
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-----Original Message-----
Sent: Saturday, 28 June 2003 9:41 AM
Subject: Day 5
Well another successful evening is making for a fantastic
week one. Lopez the only over and duly saluted and
while Nadal was unders, was tempted to throw him into
combinations with some of the short priced favourites
so not a bad result.
Did anyone see the Nadal game, as I saw he went down
in straight sets? Thought (from the stats) he would
have been more competitive. On the flip side of that
Srichaphan was overs at around $ 2.00 so did wonder
if anyone had ignored Tony's pick and gone the overlay.
Best of luck to those of you with some great outrights
to lay off (or an upset win!) in week 2.
Jasin.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 25 June 2003 10:38 AM
Subject: Re: Gimelstob vs. Clement
Tony,
Another shutout on the recommended pitches. Hard
to do. Nice curve ball with Soderling. Whatever is
going right, please don't discourage it. All the best,
Crimson Tide.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 25 June 2003 5:32 AM
Subject: great night
3 big recommended bets all saluting - Kucera/Soderling/Niemeyer!
Burgsmuller well on his way to bringing home a nice
multi on the overlay favourites.
Thanks Tony, fantastic selections. I hope you have
personally changed your strategy and got on these
grass court winners. Been a profitable grass season
so far.
Thanks again,
Brett.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 24 June 2003 9:22 AM
Subject: Re: Night One
I had a parlay on Robredo, Roddick and Rusedski for
a good profit and I also had Childs. That was a nice
call Tony. A great start so far.
Fernie.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 24 June 2003 7:19 AM
Subject: Night One
Exhausted already and 13 nights to go!
Great call on Childs and glad someone quizzed it
here as the explanation obviously gave us all much
confidence.
Whilst I gave a little back on Spadea and Behrend,
I await Clement as the 5th leg of a very large multi
of all the overlay shorties, being Youzhny, Schalken,
Rusedski, Lopez and him. Need 1 more set when play
resumes to cash that in.
Also very happy with the outright plays as "little"
Lleyton opens it for the top half draw for someone
like a Schalken, Youzhny or Clement (I hope), but
more likely Federer and Roddick. May the winners continue.
Mac.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 24 June 2003 6:37 AM
Subject: RE: Childs vs Davydenko and other results.
Hi all.
Yes, thank you Tony for an excellent night. I also
managed to get Childs @ $ 3.00 and had a both Mutis,
Robredo & Voinea in multis that won. I say Voinea
as I had him at a bookie that requires match completion
before paying, so a touch of good fortune.
Also I couldn't resist having a wager on young Nadal.
Way over I thought at $ 4.75 at he duly saluted making
for a great night. Thanks for all the great work.
Jasin.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 24 June 2003 12:33 AM
Subject: Childs has beaten Davydenko in 5 sets!
Thanks a million, Tony! What a thriller! This was
my only bet for the day, and I actually placed a maximum
stake because of the massive overlay (bought Childs
at 3.00).
Great work again, I look forward to more overlays
in the days to come :-)
Werner.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Friday, 20 June 2003 11:28 PM
Subject: Re: Crimson and Mac
Tony,
If I was wearing a hat I would certainly tip it
regarding Vacek. Well done! A couple of months ago
when I backed Vanek, I recall some banter regarding
"don't get confused with Vacek because everyone beats
him" and here we are cheering him home in Hertog...
Hertghth... Hietgensh...Holland :-)
Punter Jack.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 19 June 2003 2:53 PM
Subject: Re: Results
Hello everyone. Had some good overs with Popp, Bjorkman,
and Schalken. Nice work Tony.
I had some problems with my computer and I missed
some great overs the other night from what I read.
But now with my computer working lets hope for some
more.
Fernie.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 18 June 2003 9:12 AM
Subject: Tuesday Night
Great work again last night Tony.
Spot on with Vacek, very stiff with Delgado, Burgsmuller
a great win over Verkerk at the huge overlay price
(pity I talked myself down to halving that bet), and
all 5 of the value favourites in Dent, Rusedski, Van
Lottum, Novak and Kratochvil salute, with the 5 way
multi paying $4.80. Another great night had.
Mac.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Monday, 16 June 2003 11:03 PM
Subject: Re: C Rochus
And Parmar salutes - well played Tony. There were
lots of big overlays, so am happy so far that of the
three I chose to play, two are in the bank. Norman
could cap off a huge night.
Mac.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 4 June 2003 5:15 PM
Subject: RE: Wimbledon
I followed Tony's tips strictly, avoiding temptation
to dabble with overlays, and I'm 3.9 units up on the
French.
Colin.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Monday, 2 June 2003 12:06 PM
To: guy@ozmium.com.au
Subject: Monday Tennis
Hi Guy.
Just wondering if I have deleted or missed tonights
tennis info? I had a stack of data I cleared from
my hotmail account, and thought I may have accidently
deleted it. I know you said it was coming later than
usual, so if it is still on its way then sorry for
sounding impatient, but if I have deleted it I would
rather chase it up now than later. With the great
run that Tony, and thus myself, is having at the minute,
I don't want to miss out.
I am having a huge French Open so far personally,
and am happy I chose to join when I did, as Tony's
data has helped me no end in my final selections.
Whilst I have not taken all his suggestions on board,
I have used his analysis and summaries to help select
the short favourites that are the more certain and
used them in multi bets with great success, and also
to steer me clear of some other players I may have
backed if I had not seen Tony's warnings or prices.
If this form continues, I won't have to worry about
the "getting up early for work after watching tennis
all night" problem - work can get the flick!
Thanks, Blair.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 29 May 2003 11:18 PM
Subject: Re: Go Go Gonzo
Great work Tony.
Coutelot made us sweat a little. I think I recall
him doing a similar thing last year only not fighting
back to win.
A Squillari win will ensure a few multi's pay out
nicely, whilst Stepanek, Davydenko or Vicente (I threw
him in also) will make for a massive payday. May the
"right" roughies continue.
Mac.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 22 May 2003 2:36 PM
Subject: Re: language
I'll certainly second your thoughts Brett. Tony's
work is outstanding. (Don't burn out Tony, I'll gladly
give you a sick-note if necessary!) Add discipline
from ourselves and all of us should have made a handsome
profit this year already, at least when I started
seriously to look at the advice given.
I have enjoyed increasing my unit bet eightfold gradually
since the start of the Aust Open this year. I don't
have time to chase best prices, so Centrebet (& occasionally
CanBet), at their lowish prices, have still paid me
well and I haven't been banned yet! It's a nice feeling
when you have to wait for the software (or some manual
process) to approve some of your bets at CentreBet!
Thanks also to Guy, PJ "Centrebet are getting very
gun-shy with their odds" 20/05 (Maybe I'm not helping!)
and others who have helped me considerably to approach
this in a more professional, calculated manner.
Regards, David.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 20 May 2003 10:13 AM
Subject: Re: St Polten R2
Hi Tony.
Kohlschreiber was a great overlay @
$4.15 (rated $2.07). Well done. Also I couldn't resist
the overlay on Krajicek so had a small wager.
Good to see a Super Special saluting
at a good price.
Cheerio, Mike.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Saturday, 17 May 2003 7:59 AM
Subject: Good night
Tony, I for one had a good night with 3 from 3 at
$1.53 Coria, $1.48 Calleri and $1.22 Gaudio. I had
a nice all up at $2.64 on the three.
Good job, I hope there was plenty of success out
there.
Regards, PJ.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 13 May 2003 9:37 PM
Subject: Re: Get out of jail free card
Tony, I take your point and will stick to the rules.
As you say, they have served us well of late. Long
may it continue.
Thanks, PJ.
(Tony had explained how certain rules he uses
had prevented a player being a recommended bet.)
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Sunday, 11 May 2003 3:55 PM
Subject: HAMBURG WITH PLEASURE
Keep up the good work. A pleasure to give something
of value your way!
Regards, Wayne.
(Wayne was sending a difficult to find draw for
Hamburg to Tony)
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 6:09 PM
Subject: Re: Jasin's disappointment and tennis package
commissions.
Hi all.
After doing this wee exercise I feel slightly (only
slightly) better about my SB experience.
Gone 15 from 20 myself for POT 39%. Can see why they're
hurting after all our figures.
Cheers, Jasin.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 2:36 PM
Subject: Re: Jasin's disappointment and tennis package
commissions.
Hi everyone.
My stats are 19 from 25, the last 12 all winners.
Of these 25 bets there are 5 all ups with 3 or 4 legs
which have won (so it is actually more than 1 bet,
but for what we are doing it will suffice).
POT I haven't worked out yet but I will follow up
when I update my spreadsheet (a couple of late nights
has me a little behind).
I would imagine this percentage would be very good.
Regards, PJ.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 12:48 PM
Subject: Re: Jasin's disappointment and tennis package
commissions.
PJ, 23 bets for 17 winners for me with Sportingbet.
Only 17% POT (had 3 big losers in mid April which
really dragged the POT down for Sportingbet).
Strange how you seem to get runs with particular
bookies - in the last month I am 17 wins from 19 bets
with Will Hill for POT of 50% but for same period
with Betfair I am 18 from 27 and only breaking even.
Terry.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 12:05 PM
Subject: RE: Jasin's disappointment and tennis package
commissions.
PJ, since April 1st up to last night I have had 23
bets for 19 winners (a strike rate of ~83%). More
importantly POT of ~49%.
Regards, Jacz.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 9:43 AM
Subject: Re: Tony does it again
Hey Crimson, speaking of shutouts, Tony reminds
me of a pitcher called Dwight Gooden I used to follow.
He had a 98 mile an hour fast ball, and a curve ball
that looked like it fell of the end of a table!
As Tony would say, long may it continue. Tony, if
you are out there, I made a mental note to myself
while watching the live scores on Galimberti on Tuesday
night (Wed morning). It was, "I hope Tony opposes
this guy next round, he can't hold a serve to save
his life, I would love to be on his opponent heavily".
But it had to be rotten Kafelnikov! Anyway, another
time.
Regards and well done, to say the least. PJ.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 10:10 AM
Subject: Re: Tony does it again
Tony, You are on fire again! I have a nasty feeling
that Sportingbet may drop the Tennis completely after
this tournament if you keep this up for the rest of
the week.
Have had 5 normal bets for 5 winners with them this
week and last night I took an "all-up" with Ljubicic,
Mantilla, Costa & Volandri which will be paying for
a nice dinner out tonight (and then some!)
In hindsight I wish I had had the guts to include
Verkerk in the all-up as well (just had a normal bet
@$4.50 with Will Hill on him).
If you ever come to Canberra, drop me a line and
I will buy you a drink!
Cheers, Terry.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 9:59 AM
Subject: Re: Tony does it again
Brett, thanks for that. My observation was very casual
and based on a small sample. It's good to talk to
someone who's had a proper look and I agree that an
extra 5 or 10 cents on each dividend makes a helluva
difference to the bottom line.
I did think he was stretching it a little when he
put himself down as taking a price at 5 Dimes and
it has not escaped my attention that Tony conservatively
only claims Centrebet dividends.
Regards, Crimson Tide.
(Talking about the tennis expert at On the Punt)
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 8:59 AM
To: atp_list@ozmium.com.au
Subject: Re: Jasin's disappointment and tennis package
commissions.
Jasin, Guy, Tony and the ATP Team,
Sportingbet must be bleeding on the tennis. First
of all they buy our money (New account 20%, Thursday
top-up 5%), then they more often than not seem to
offer the best prices at some stage.
Players we are going to back will shorten everywhere
else (last night Costa into $1.30, Volandri into $1.36
and Sportingbet will be there with the nice odds.
After reading Tony's article on them I would question
their current situation. Is the Australian operation
separately funded and secure?
If anyone wants to take part in a straw poll on
strike rates with them over the last month, say since
1st April please submit details in the next day, it
might make interesting reading. Simply how many winners
from how many bets, we all know the prices have been
from short to juicy longshots.
I will submit mine later today, any replies just
update the percentage strike rate. At least we will
know roughly how much they are hurting, not to gloat,
just to be prudent.
Regards, PJ.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 9:47 AM
Subject: RE: Tony does it again
In relation to the On the Punt expert I disagree,
he has nowhere near the record of Tony.
I keep track of some of these free services (but
only bet with Tony) The OTP return is about 40% of
Tony's return since the Oz Open.
Like a lot of these free services that show their
past performance, it assumes that you got the best
price with a cetain bookie. OTP takes the highest
possible price, which will not be available to everyone
and with a bookie you might not be with - a small
difference in price makes a substantial difference
in the overall result. On my records he is still showing
a small profit.
I'm sure if Tony did an analysis of best price/any
bookie in the world, that his returns would be even
more spectacular, but anyhow I agree Crimson that
we are very grateful to Tony and Guy for this very
professional and profitable service.
Cheers, Brett.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 8 May 2003 9:05 AM
Subject: Re: Tony does it again
Punter Jack, I've just got up. Watched Marty win
but had no idea about the others, barring Felix.
Absolutely I agree, Tony's pitched two shutouts in
a row. If I weren't excited now I should give it away
and you know I'm not going to do that. The only thing
stopping me from being full-blown ecstatic is that
I know there will be a bad run around the corner.
Still, let's enjoy it while we can and, once again,
we must thank Tony and Guy for dealing us into a package
that is not only profitable but participatory and
enjoyable. The losers make the winners more fun.
Tony, don't misunderstand me, you're our man and
we like it that way, but that guy who tips for On
The Punt seems to have some ability. Strangely, he
also plumped for Marty V.
Good luck to all you people like Guy who prosper
on the unofficial bets, I'm flat out making sure I'm
on all the official ones. Anyway, Tony whatever you're
doing, I don't discourage it!
All the best. Crimson Tide.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 6 May 2003 6:29 PM
Subject: Arb
Centrebet have Kucera at 3.50 - Sportingbet have
Davydenko at 1.45. Outlay $97.35, guaranteed collect
of $100.
Both have the "first ball served" rule so no problems
with injuries.
Cheers, Tony.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 6 May 2003 2:01 PM
To: Guy West
Subject: Re: Here we go again...
Thanks, Guy.
Tennis has been very good. Might have to pay Tony
more!
Regards, David.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Tuesday, 6 May 2003 12:35 AM
Subject: Re: Roma
Tony,
As you can now see on Channel 11, Felix is 5-0 up
in the third and Hanescu just got home. Great start
so far. One to go.
Congrats, Punter Jack.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 1 May 2003 8:25 AM
To: Ozmium ATP Insiders List
Subject: Re: Cant count in Spain and well done Tony
Hi All.
One benefit of being 2 hours ahead in NZ is I didn't
see the result before setting off to sleep so awoke
to the great news of 3 from 3. Great job Tony. Here's
hoping tonights result roll the same way.
With the French open looming fast and the Clay season
in full swing, Tony (or anyone) do you have any thoughts
or do you always wait until the final draw. (Of course
recalling last years great result of Costa at 50/1!)
Cheers, Jasin.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, 1 May 2003 6:57 AM
To: ATP Insiders
Subject: Cant count in Spain and well done Tony
Dear Tony and the Team,
Again it seems they can't count in Spain. I went
to bed thinking that Vicente had been beaten due to
the incorrect score on Livescore.com and woke up to
see if Niemenen (my new favourite player) and Stepanek
had got me out of trouble... to find that Vicente
had actually won!
Tony, well done - a nice nights work. If I had known
my true position I may have backed Massu at the overs
as well.
Anyway, we should all double-check the scores somehow
as it seems that there is a mistake a day on average.
Any luck, Crimson Tide?
Regards, Punter Jack.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Saturday, 26 April 2003 7:18 AM
To: Guy West
Subject: Re: Soccer
Hi Guy.
Thanks for the quick response. Well, I just had
to find a good way of investing the winnings from
the AFL and Tennis packages!
Anyway, thanks for doing a great job in finding all
these great packages.
David C.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 23 April 2003 9:06 PM
Re: Davydenko
Yup. That was a great bet! Only Mantilla left for
the day (but a net profit no matter what happens there)
and Mantilla was also a juicy price at 2.50! Let's
hope he takes it home as well.
You're a magician. Thanks again! Werner.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 23 April 2003 8:35 AM
Subject: About comments
I fully agree with Jasin. I had a bet on Nieminen
last week as recommended in your comments. I have
a system of staking 4% of my bankroll on a max bet,
where roughly 5 units in your analysis is a 4% bet
for me, meaning I only bet max on "super specials".
During the past 2 weeks I have staked around US$
7,000 on tennis, and with a gross profit of more than
US$ 10,000 this gives me a 43% net profit. In my book
this is very good. The figure for 2003 as a whole
is a little less; 36%. But it sure beats the stock
exchange...
So I can only say, thanks for your great work. I
enjoy reading your comments. They are (along with
the prices and recommendations) a great source for
me, helping me in making tennis betting profitable!
I also use other sources than your analysis, but your
analysis is my main source and as important as placing
bets is knowing when NOT to place bets and I never
place bets when I think your comments (or price) is
in disfavour of a possible betting object.
I certainly hope you will continue your comments,
I read every single one of them.
Thanks again. Werner.
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 23 April 2003 7:08 AM
To: guy@ozmium.com.au
Subject: Re: Remaining R2 matches Barcelona
Tony, Great work. I have enjoyed some winners. I
think the comments are great because it gives me a
feel on the match so I would like the comments to
be there.
I know we have a time difference because you are
about 17 hrs ahead of my time, but since my computer
went down and I am still waiting to see if I get a
new one or what, I am missing some of these winners.
I missed out on Nieminen and Gaudio. I did have Robredo
but when I called my bookie last night about 11pm
I could not get a line on those two winners.
Usually what is happening is I miss out on some winners
from the first round because when your e-mail is sent
it is on Sunday night my time and the library is closed
and the local print shop is closed so by the time
I get to computer Monday morning most of these European
matches have been completed.
I just hope you keep producing winners and maybe
I can get most of them. Keep up the good work Tony.
Cheers, Fernie.
(Fernando is a US client)
-----Original Message-----
Sent: Wednesday, 23 April 2003 6:45 AM
To: guy@ozmium.com.au
Subject: Re: Remaining R2 matches Barcelona
I'm fairly new to this Tony, but I for one find the
comments very valuable. However, I think your skills
need to be put to their (in your judgement) best use,
and if your view is that on balance you could improve
the overall quality of what you produce for your clients,
especially over an extended period of time, then I
think we should all respect that.
I think you produce an excellent service, and you
obviously value your clients views, so it's your call
at the end of the day. Keep up the great work.
Tom M.
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