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Smartgambler AFL Package

    
    2009 season

Thank you for your interest in this service. Professor Stephen Clarke's expertise in computer exploitation of sports statistics will give you a realistic chance at being a long term winner on AFL football betting, as shown by his simulated test results from the system over four full seasons from 1997 to 2000 using the aggressive Kelly System of staking. (Graph courtesy of Swinburne University)

This spectacular level of returns is obviously not likely to be maintained in the long term, but it does show the potential of computer modelled statistical attacks for gaining a betting edge over the bookmakers.

Use of Professor Clarke's system in real life betting subsequent to his four year testing period has also been profitable, as numerous e-mails in our AFL testimonials section bear witness. The authors of any material in the testimonials section can be contacted if required.

Here is Stephen Clarke's chart from his four year testing phase.

An example of how this package can help you profit on AFL betting was provided in round 3 of the 2006 season, when Hawthorn played away against hot favourites, Geelong at Skilled Stadium.

The computer assessed the match as 82.9% to 17.1% in favour of Geelong, but at $7.00 with one bookmaker instead of the assessed 'fair price' of $5.85, the computer flagged a 19.7% pricing overlay on Hawthorn. On this basis, our clients were effectively advised to back Hawthorn as a value bet. Hawthorn actually did win in a big upset, but that isn't the point. The point is that positive value bets (by definition) win over time.

Smartgambler AFL Package 2009

Currently includes

  1. Swinburne computer prediction of the eight winners.

  2. Swinburne computer prediction of winning margins.

  3. Swinburne computer's assessment of the correct price for each match. (eg. Fremantle should pay $2.75)

  4. Early notification by e-mail of teams that look like being excellent bets for that round, based on the assessed price compared to bookies odds. Back-up delivery via secure internet forum in case of e-mail failure.

  5. Suggested relative percentages of your bank to bet according to the mathematically based Kelly system, if you should choose to use that system.

  6. Arbitrage alert. (Forced win by backing both sides at best odds.)
    Spreadsheet cell turns red and gives the percentage of the arbitrage.

  7. Spreadsheet contains margin betting calculations on each match for finding value margin bets.

  8. Weekly updates of the computer's assessed odds of each team finishing in any given position after the home and away season based on the remaining draw for each team, for futures betting.

  9. Access to Australia's highest profile sports statistician, Professor Stephen Clarke, for questions and support.

  10. Private 'insiders' club for communication between members on best odds updates, arbitrages, support, ideas and discussion.

Please note that there may be minor changes to the content of the package advertised but the essence will be as described above. Bonus statistical information may also be added to your package free of charge as further programming enhancements occur with the Swinburne computer. We are dedicated to helping you win at Australian Rules football betting and aim for repeat patronage by offering the best value service we can.

Pricing includes all home and away rounds plus all finals. Tax free for overseas residents.

Member discount! See payment pages.

To check prices or purchase your package follow the links below.

Click here for secure credit card transaction.

Click here for other payment methods.

Enquiries about the AFL package: +61 3 9723 6262.

 


AFL index page

Stephen Clarke CV

Testimonials

Clarke media articles

 


 

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