Smartgambler AFL Package
2008 season
Thank
you for your interest in this service. Professor Stephen
Clarke's expertise in computer exploitation of sports
statistics will give you a realistic chance at being
a long term winner on AFL football betting, as shown
by his simulated test results from the system over
four full seasons from 1997 to 2000 using the
aggressive Kelly System of staking. (Graph courtesy
of Swinburne University)
This
spectacular level of returns is obviously not likely
to be maintained in the long term, but it does
show the potential of computer modelled statistical
attacks for gaining a betting edge over the bookmakers.
Use
of Professor Clarke's system in real life betting
subsequent to his four year testing period has also
been profitable, as numerous e-mails in our AFL testimonials
section bear witness. The authors of any material
in the testimonials section can be contacted if required.
Here
is Stephen Clarke's chart from his four year testing
phase.
An
example of how this package can help you profit on
AFL betting was provided in round 3 of the 2006 season,
when Hawthorn played away against hot favourites,
Geelong at Skilled Stadium.
The
computer assessed the match as 82.9% to 17.1% in favour
of Geelong, but at $7.00 with one bookmaker instead
of the assessed 'fair price' of $5.85, the computer
flagged a 19.7% pricing overlay on Hawthorn. On this
basis, our clients were effectively advised to back
Hawthorn as a value bet. Hawthorn actually did win
in a big upset, but that isn't the point. The point
is that positive value bets (by definition) win over
time.
Smartgambler
AFL Package 2008
Currently
includes
