Andrew Scott
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Reprinted courtesy of Blackjack-masters.com
Questions from Tim
Comments from Chris M (from the Andrew Scott
Blackjack school) in italics.
from the Hi Guy,
I have been a faithful follower of blackjack basic
strategy for a while now, and as expected, have had
mixed success.
Over the last couple of nights at the Casino (Crown
in Melbourne), I have begun to play all seven boxes
myself. This has led to some great results - turned
300 into 1500 tonight and 200 into 800 last Thursday
night.
This is just an example of positive fluctuation.
Anyone playing blackjack can have wins in the short
term, even if they are playing poor strategy.
I assume there is no inherent advantage in playing
all boxes myself, but it has been very successful.
Can you shed any light on this?
Once again – short term positive fluctuation.
I have heard that some successful players always
like to do this. One friend of mine insists that this
is because having seven boxes in play reduces the
number of low cards the dealer can get, e.g if it
is one on one, the dealer has 16 aces per eight deck
shoe, etc. I told him that this was stupid and it
is the proportion that matters, but he insists the
number of actual cards available to the dealer in
a given shoe, rather than the proportion, are is what
is important.
If you are playing basic strategy and not card
counting, the only thing opening more boxes will do
is ensure you lose quicker. This is due to you betting
more money/hour. Fluctuation is slightly reduced by
playing 2 boxes instead of one as often you will lose
one box and win the other.
The same friend insisted also, that when you win
a hand you should always increase your bet, as the
chance of winning again after a winning hand is increased.
I said this was one of the stupidest things I've ever
heard - can you confirm I was right about this?
You are completely correct.
Also, I was in a debate with another mate the other
night, and he was suggesting that doubling needs to
be more limited to 'keep you in the game'. I countered
with the argument that not taking your doubles when
you should costs you money - when you are a statistical
favourity, you owe it to yourself to be doubling.
What are your thoughts on this?
You are completely correct. Correct doubling
is an important part of basic strategy.
Also, do you have any statistics on how many cards/hands
are dealt in an average eight deck shoe, depending
on the number of players?
On average 2.7 cards are used per hand(for
the player and dealer). Therefore if an 8 deck shoe
is being used with 2 deck penetration (2 decks cut
off by the cut card), 312 cards are in play. The following
table lists the number of rounds with 1-7 players.
Players Rounds
1 58
2 39
3 29
4 23
5 19
6 17
7 14
Keep up the good work on the site, very informative
and interesting. I know I have overloaded you with
questions, but any reply would be greatly appreciated.
Cheers,
Tim.
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