Australian Rules Football Odds Calculator

For a full explanation of his AFL calculator, read these essays
by Scott McIntosh who runs the website Online Poker Room Reviews

Enter Data

Results

Select predicted line and press 'Calculate' to obtain results.

Help

This Australian Rules Football Odds Calculator is based on the normal distribution model for predicting probability and odds of outcomes.
It takes a Predicted Line as input and calculates a variety of results.
A standard deviation of 38 is used and was derived from historical data.
This model has shown itself to be reasonably accurate given past results.

Enter the the Predicted Line in terms of the number of points the favoured team is predicted to win by.
Commonly used Predicted Lines are the bookmakers line or as determined by a handicapping model.
Team 1 is considered to be the favourite in all cases.

**Click here for AFL calculator with "IN RUN" betting function**

Disclaimer

As with all models, the probabilities and odds calculated may be erroneous and not reflect reality.
The reasons for errors could be but are not limited to the following:

Inaccurate 'Average Winning Margin' entered.
Inaccurate standard deviation due to factors such as changes in playing styles or weather.
Non-normality of results.
Predicted line (ie mode) is significantly different from the mean winning margin.

This calculator is provided for entertainment purposes only.
No responsibility will be taken for any losses incurred as a result of using this calculator.