Australian Rugby
League
NRL
betting with Professor Stephen Clarke.
Professor
Stephen
Clarke,
now retired from the Swinburne University School of
Mathematical Sciences, uses computer modelling and
statistical techniques to make superior sports betting
predictions. He started out specialising in AFL football
and
is the brain behind the high profile Swinburne
footy tipping computer, as seen on Channel Nine's
The Footy Show and other media such as the Herald
Sun newspaper over the years.
Professor
Clarke has now adapted a statistical model perfected
over several decades to NRL predictions and released
his predictions commercially for the first time during
the 2005 season.
Introduction
to NRL betting.
Sports
betting in general is one of the best forms of
gambling to try and get a long term edge, for several
reasons.
1.
There is a strong skill element, with some punters
knowing a lot more than others. The less skilful punters
subsidise the more skilful.
2.
By shopping around on the internet for the best prices
you can usually get sportsbooks on head to head events
down to under 103%, making it far better than, for
example, racing. Sometimes even arbitrage situations
occur where the book temporarily falls to less than
100%.
3.
Doing the form on sports betting can be very enjoyable
in itself, as is watching the events. This can be
a good motivator to do the work required.
As
with other specific sports targeted on this site,
Rugby League is an excellent game on which to launch
a serious betting attack. Far more people bet
on Rugby matches than know anything about it. This
is partly because it has a very high profile, especially
in North Eastern Australia and most people have heard
of the leading teams.
Like
AFL and Rugby Union, Rugby League is also a very tribal
sport with strong allegiances, so there is a lot of
emotional money invested in NRL betting. This is
not 'smart money' and hard headed professionals
make a very nice living finding value bets that exploit
this factor.
Smartgambler
has secured the services of one of the world's leading
sports statisticians, who can provide you with the
information needed to profit over the long term.
Free
NRL tipping competition! Click
here
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